South Sudan Capital Marks Six Months to Referendum

 

JUBA, Sudan—Hundreds gathered on a rainy morning in Sudan’s southern capital of Juba to mark the countdown to southern Sudan’s self-determination referendum.

The southern referendum, slated for January 9, 2011, was a key provision of the Comprehensive Peace Agreement, a landmark accord that ended decades of war between the Khartoum government and the southern rebels, the Sudan Peoples’ Liberation Movement/Army.

With only six months until southerners cast their votes in a referendum that analysts widely believe will lead to separation of Sudan’s North and South, youth activists took to the streets of Juba today with one clear message: “separation is our ultimate goal.”

That was the slogan emblazoned on the bright orange shirts distributed en masse by a newly formed organization, the Southern Sudan Youth Forum for Referendum. One leader of the new group, Angelo Diing, a 32-year old businessman from Northern Bahr al Ghazal state, described the forum’s members as “young people who care about the future of southern Sudan.”

“We are all volunteering our time to help,” said Nya Willliam, a young southern Sudanese women who helped plan the inaugural rally of the youth forum. William said she is a civil servant in the semi-autonomous Government of Southern Sudan, though the organizers of the event are careful to note that the youth forum is not being sponsored by the southern government.

Diing said the forum plans to launch events in the coming months in all 10 states in the South. He said the goal of the group is to educate the mostly illiterate southern population about the referendum and to inform them that “this is their chance to decide” their future.

Men, women, and young children flocked to Juba’s football stadium in an ad hoc parade of motorcycles, “matatu” minivans, and the white 4x4s that are ubiquitous in this town, as organizers of the event threw t-shirts out the windows of cars and from their perches in the back of flatbed trucks. Yelling “SPLM Oyee,” a common refrain here, demonstrators voiced support for the South’s ruling party.
Basing themselves at a tall building in town that they’ve named the “Referendum House,” the Southern Sudan Youth Forum is one of a number of youth groups that have sprung up in recent months to raise awareness about the upcoming independence vote. All of these groups have a strong secessionist leaning, indicative of the general sentiment among southerners. Various signs attached to minivans and trucks reinforced these views: “No to the Arabization and Islamization of the South. Yes to Southern Sudan Independent,” read one banner.

Simon Kamis, 20, a secondary school student in Juba, said that he came to rally because he had been informed by his friends about it, and he said that he would definitely vote for secession. “We have been marginalized by the northerners,” Kamis said, echoing a common refrain among the population here that the Khartoum government has not done enough to fulfill the promises they made when they signed the CPA and promised to work with the southern government to “make unity attractive” to all Sudanese citizens.

Said one government official, “This is our ‘orange revolution.’”

Maggie Fick's contributions to various newswires bears a clear mission from her employer: Enough. It should be watched closely, for she is having an increasing voice on public perception.

A WORD TO THE WISE:

"The positioning of the two phenomena of unity and secession within a paradigm based on the notion of polarity would be overly simplistic and seek to entrench an antagonistic relationship."

It is first and foremost a responsibility to the peoples of Sudan, north and south, to ensure that the final year of the CPA Interim Period is successfully concluded, in a peaceful and orderly manner. I have no doubt that this can be achieved, and that the vote in the referendum will be respected and the decision of the people implemented swiftly and fairly.

It is also a responsibility to Africa as a whole. Africa has charted its course towards political and economic integration, and has invested great efforts in building a peace and security architecture. Sudan’s success in navigating the challenges of the next 12 months, which includes respecting the choice of the people of Southern Sudan, and managing the outcome of the referendum in the wider African context, will be an example to the millions of Africans and a very important factor for stability and prosperity across the continent.

For centuries, Sudan has been a meeting place of Africans, from north, south, east and west. For instance there are millions of Sudanese citizens of Nigerian ancestry. Millions of Sudanese belong to religious communities whose members are spread across the length and breadth of the African continent. Sudan has played host to refugees from no fewer than five of its neighbours and pioneered the generous international refugee asylum laws that we have today. Sudan is not only a bridge between the Arab and the African worlds, but also between east and west Africa, between the desert and the tropics. It is thus a crucible of diversity.

STATEMENT OF THE CHAIRPERSON OF THE AUHIP, THE HONORABLE THABO MBEKI, AT THE LAUNCH OF THE SUDAN POST-REFERENDUM NEGOTIATIONS: KHARTOUM, JULY 10, 2010

Maggie Fick is doing a great job researching and writing about how the post-election environment in Southern Sudan is causing concern to many in the region. It is indeed true that a couple of mainly former SPLA officers in Upper Nile and Jonglei states have launched violent protests against the results of the April poll. It is also true that the UN and others among the Southern Sudanese have tried to bring the belligerent "losers" of the elections on the one side and the SPLM-led government of Southern Sudan and the SPLA to negotiate an end to the insurgency.

Following the way the insurgency has evolved and is playing out in the Southern Sudanese political arena, one hard not to notice some of the unrealistic demands made by the insurgents. For example, former SPLA general Athor has been quoted as saying he wanted the Jonglei governor, Kuol Manyang, to be removed from office; he even went further by demanding the entire government of Southern Sudan to resign and be replaced by a care-taker administration to oversee the conduct of the referendums in Southern Sudan and Abyei.

Ms Fick's article contains some contradictions in the way it characterizes responses to the insurgency by both the SPLM-led government of Southern Sudan and the SPLA. For the article states, "what is perhaps most alarming is that the southern government, led by the ruling SPLM party, and the SPLA itself, have proved incapable of resolving them [the threat of violence these rebellions pose], either politically or militarily." Yet the article also goes on to mention that UN officials have "quietly expressed concern for the civilians trapped inside Athor's area of operation." There are many civilians "trapped" inside Athor-SPLA conflict zone. For the SPLA to launch a full-blown military assault in and around this area can only mean more civilian casualties, which will most certainly cause even more concern to bodies like the UN. As a result, the SPLA will be accused of the same heavy-handedness the writer has written about in the last paragraphs.

A peaceful end to these insurgencies is clearly the desired outcome, but with a highly charged political environment, and motives that are far from clear, one can only hope for few clashes between the belligerent sides.

As for the SPLA, they are doomed if they go after these insurgents and doomed if they do not. Either way, there will be no simple way out for the government of Southern Sudan, it seems.

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